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Intensity of Crises in Maghreb and Sahel Regions Remains Dangerously High, Says MEA-Risk

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The North Africa Journal: For the week ending June 8, 14, the combined disruptive events recorded by sister company MEA-Risk’s Critical Incidents Tracker showed an intensity that remained within the “High-Risk Zone” level, just as in the previous week.

Although the intensity of combined crises dropped by -3.1% compared to the previous week, it still settled at the dangerous red area of “High-Risk Zone” rated 2.17, according to MEA-Risk Analysts. That figure was better than the peak of 2.24 recorded in the previous week, a record for the past month.

Despite a sequential reduction of -3.1% in the level of intensity, MEA-Risk noted that the number of incidents for the most recent week expanded by 25% to 78 instances, up from 62 in the previous week. At 83, the number of casualties was high, a near 11% increase sequentially.

Libya remains where the majority of disurptive incidents took place. Among the most important events analyzed by MEA-Risk were the continued clashes involving Ansar Al-Sharia, “government” forces and militias. An warplane hit a university in Benghazi after renegade general launched airstrikes there. Outside of Benghazi, there were inter-communal clashes in Sebha. The situation has gotten so drastic that many foreign governments recalled their citizens, including the governments of neighboring Tunisia and Algeria, and as far away as the Philippines and the US. The political scene was no better. A Congressman was abducted in Tripoli, a cabinet Minister resigned, renegade General Hafter was almost assassinated, a mass grave outside Tripoli was discovered, a Red Cross official was gunned down, and the list goes on.

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