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From the editor
Arezki Daoud

By Arezki Daoud

North Africa’s Oil Money: Unhealthy Protectionism, Legitimate Sovereign Policy or Political Struggle

Unwilling to let their riches skip away from their coffers and in need of cash to fund their economies, the oil-rich North African nations of Algeria and Libya have made recent decisions that reaffirmed their sovereignty over oil and gas, but have stunned observers and worried the oil industry. Moving toward deregulating their oil and gas sectors, the two countries most recent decisions are seen by analysts as a setback to promised liberalization and a new march toward further nationalization and protectionism, while local politicians liking their moves to those of the European Union’s own regulatory frenzy . [read here]

TOPICS

189th. issue - Week ended September 26, 2006
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SOCIAL AND LABOR AFFAIRS
Despite Improvements in their Countries' Economies and Positive Outlook, Households in North Africa Face Tough Budget Crunch

There is an interesting contradiction in the Algerian social and economic environments. Money has been flowing into state coffers in record amounts, and yet paradoxically households' finances are stretched to their limits. The difficulties facing families there is generally magnified with the back-to-school season, as millions of pupils and students return to their classes, with all the spending needed to prepare them for the new academic year. But this year, the massive spending due to back-to-school coincided with the month of Ramadan, which in itself is typically the most expensive month of the year. This year, the holly month of Ramadan began two weeks after schools opened their doors. But to make things even worse, spending pre-back-to-school has also been high this year, according to observers. The summer season brought its own troubles to the household budget. In Morocco, households are facing an equally difficult environment, although the outlook for this year's economic performance calls for a more 7% growth. Rising prices across all product categories are largely attributed to the need for the government to withdraw from the business of subsidizing consumption. And that is a painful transition for the average Moroccan.

[read here]



ECONOMY AND TRADE
Growing Libyan-Tunisian Trade Benefits the Tunisian Sahara: Toward Open Border Policy

Tunisia has been expanding its trade position in Libya, accelerating commerce ever since Libya reopened to the world. For the first seven months of this year, the value of the two countries' trade reached the TND 1 billion mark (about the same in US$), compared to TND 570 million the same period a year ago. In addition to growing flows of goods and services, there has been a sharp increase in travelers' flow, with Libyan travelers now accounting for the largest share of Tunisian incoming tourists. Some 6 million travelers cross the Tunisian-Libyan border of Ras Jedir.

[read here]


ECONOMY AND TRADE
Morocco’s Economy in the First Half of 2006 and Outlook

After the decrease in economic growth and an unfavorable international environment with the rise in oil prices in 2005, the Moroccan economic environment is showing good progress, with substantial improvements during the first half of 2006, forecasting a recovery of the GDP growth. This trend, combined with a continuation of the improvement of public finances and the rise of foreign assets reveal a continuation of the internal and external stability of the Moroccan economy.

[read here]



ENERGY AND MINING
Libya’s Oil Sector: Toward Resource Nationalism
By:
Geoff Porter

In a move to increase political control over its energy sector, the Libyan government formed on September 6, 2006 a new body, the Council for Oil and Gas Affairs, to set energy sector policy. The council's mandate contains troubling language hinting that Libya may be tacking toward resource nationalism. Coming only six months after the complete dissolution of the General People's Secretariat for Energy, the move is characteristic of Libyan leader Col. Muammar Qadhafi's flip-flop method of rule that prevents any one constituency from consolidating too much power and ensures that Qadhafi is involved in all key decisions.

[read here]


ECONOMY
Central Bank of Tunisia Maintains Same Key Rate

The Central Bank of Tunisia announced on August 29, 2006 that it will maintain the lending key rate unchanged. The bank’s board noted the importance of pursuing efforts to consolidate economic growth and boosting global balances, in particular, by curbing the current deficit and the inflation rate. Assessing the Tunisian economy, the bank said tourist and agricultural activities could not be in line with the progress of manufacturing industries production (exclusive of textile and clothing) and the consolidation of foreign trade activity. In industry, the sector's general index of production rose by 1.5% over the first six months of the current year compared to 0.6% in the same period of last year, following notably positive development in mechanical and electrical industries, agrofood industries and building materials, ceramics and glass industries. This evolution was, in particular, reflected through higher level of imports of raw materials and semi-finished products, up by 12.4% at the end of the second ten days of August 2006.

[read here]


LAW
White Collar Crime: Busy Fall Season for Morocco’s Legal System

The Moroccan court system is under scrutiny. It is facing several major high profile cases, all of which have been the results of financial scandals that have remained unresolved for several years. These cases, which include those of some of the nation’s largest financial institutions and public administrations, from CIH and BNDE, to CNSS and BCP, add a new workload to the already busy criminal courts, in particular since the special courts that have initiated them no longer exist.

[read here]



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IN THIS ISSUE

CORPORATE AFFAIRS


New Revenue Record for Sonatrach

Sumitomo Electric Industries Ups its Stakes in Morocco

Easyjet to Link Madrid with Casablanca

Rostoy of Spain Opens Drink Plant in Tangier

Sonatrach Awards Engineering and Supply Contracts


POLITICS/DIPLOMACY


French Intelligence Assesses Terrorism Risk in France


ECONOMY AND TRADE


Growing Libyan-Tunisian Trade Benefits the Tunisian Sahara: Toward Open Border Policy

Morocco, Tunisia Boost Cooperation

Morocco’s Economy in the First Half of 2006 and Outlook

Audio Transcript: Maghreb Economic Round Up - Click here to listen the audio file instead.

Algeria’s Gold Holdings Near $3.6 billion

Central Bank of Tunisia Maintains Same Key Rate


FINANCE / BANKING


World Bank Loan for Morocco to Fund Rural Roads


INDUSTRIES / MARKET


Altadis Takes Full Ownership of Morocco’s Tobacco Firm


ENERGY - MINING


Gas Prices on the Rise in Morocco

Libya’s Oil Sector: Toward Resource Nationalism- Geoff Porter


OTHER ISSUES


White Collar Crime: Busy Fall Season for Morocco’s Legal System


Despite Improvements in their Countries' Economies, Households in North Africa Face Budget Crunch

Migration to Cities Causes Degradation in Rural Economic Infrastructure

African Languages Enter Libyan Schools



OPINION

North Africa’s Oil Money: Unhealthy Protectionism, Legitimate Sovereign Policy or Political Struggle